Moody’s Rating Forecasts Rwanda’s Strong Growth Prospects Despite Vulnerability to external Shocks

September 28, 2024

Moody’s Ratings, one of the leading global credit rating agencies, has maintained Rwanda's credit score at B2 with a stable economic outlook following a recent assessment. This decision reflects the anticipated robust economic growth in Rwanda and ongoing fiscal consolidation efforts, including initiatives to boost domestic revenues.

The agency's stable outlook highlights Rwanda’s strong growth prospects, solid institutions and governance, a proven track record of policy execution, and access to concessional funding. However, it also acknowledges vulnerabilities to external shocks.

In a statement released on September 25, 2024, Moody’s projected that Rwanda's real GDP is likely to grow by 8% over the 2024-25 period, with inflation expected to remain contained at around 5-6%. The agency noted that the current account deficit ( 10-12% of GDP ) will continue to reflect  imports of capital goods driven by the implementation of development projects. Country’s foreign exchange reserve buffers, will remain adequate (4.7 months of imports as of the end of June 2024).

The reaffirmation of Rwanda's credit rating underscores the country’s proactive economic policies, strong growth prospects, and resilience in the face of challenges, positioning Rwanda favorably for continued economic stability and progress.

Topics


Rwanda Presents Third Voluntary National Review on Progress Towards the 2030 Agenda

New York, 15 July 2026 — Rwanda has presented its Third Voluntary National Review (VNR) on the implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals…

Read more →

Rwanda Ranked Among Africa's Top Performers in Global Sovereign Transparency Report

KIGALI, July 14, 2026 – Rwanda has been ranked among Africa's top performers in the 2026 Institute of International Finance (IIF) Investor Relations…

Read more →

Reinventing Development Finance

Yusuf Murangwa , Junaid Kamal Ahmad, and Ndiamé Diop

July 8, 2026

Faced with shrinking concessional finance and rising borrowing costs, Rwanda has…

Read more →

Development Partners and Government Review Next Steps for Operationalizing Rwanda’s Development Cooperation Policy

Kigali, Rwanda – July 2, 2026 — Government officials and development partners last week convened under the Development Partners Coordination Group…

Read more →

RWANDA’S GDP GROWS BY 10% IN FIRST QUARTER OF 2026, DRIVEN BY INDUSTRY AND SERVICES

KIGALI, June 16, 2026 – Rwanda’s economy recorded 10% growth in the first quarter of 2026, compared to the same period in 2025, according to official…

Read more →

Minister Murangwa Presents Frw 7,796 billion Budget for 2026/27, Prioritizing Agriculture, Jobs, and Economic Stability

Kigali, 11 June 2026– The Minister of Finance and Economic Planning, Yusuf Murangwa, today presented to Parliament a budget proposal of Frw 7,796.3…

Read more →

S&P Global Ratings Confirms Rwanda's Credit Rating at 'B+/B' with a Stable Outlook

Kigali, Rwanda – 25 May 2026 – S&P Global Ratings last week affirmed Rwanda’s credit rating at ‘B+/B’, maintaining a stable outlook. The affirmation…

Read more →

Government Presents Budget Framework Centered on Resilience and Inclusion

Kigali, 11 May 2026 – The Minister of Finance and Economic Planning, Yusuf Murangwa, today on behalf of the Government, presented the Budget Framework…

Read more →

Rwanda and IMF Reach Staff-Level Agreement on $250 Million Program

Kigali, Rwanda – April 2, 2026– The Government of Rwanda has reached a staff-level agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on a 38-month…

Read more →
-->